Crypto
Bitcoin Climbed Toward 78,300 While Tech Stocks Turned Red
Monday delivered the kind of session crypto believers have been waiting for. Bitcoin climbed as high as 78,280 dollars, up 1.93 percent since midnight UTC, while nearly every other major asset class finished lower. Ether rose 2.1 percent to 2,514 dollars and XRP gained 3.3 percent. All but six of the CoinDesk 100 constituents moved higher on the day, the broadest advance in two weeks. Nasdaq 100 futures fell 1.65 percent, S&P 500 futures slipped 0.7 percent, gold dropped 0.8 percent, and silver lost 1.7 percent. The dollar index firmed 0.5 percent. Crypto was one of two major asset classes in the green, alongside oil. Bitcoin still sits 4.8 percent below its September high of 82,284 dollars, consolidating the short squeeze that carried it from 64,000 dollars in August.
The trigger came from an unlikely direction: the AI industry itself. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei published a weekend essay arguing that AI companies should slow frontier model development on safety grounds. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Elon Musk publicly backed the call for greater caution. Tech investors heard a slowdown in the AI build out and sold first. Nvidia fell 2.4 percent in premarket trading, Intel dropped 5.6 percent, Marvell lost 6.3 percent, and South Korea's Kospi slid 3.26 percent. Neocloud names got hit hardest: CoreWeave and Cipher Digital each fell around 6 percent in premarket trading, while MARA and IREN dropped 5 and 4 percent. Crypto carries zero exposure to the AI supply chain, so with its own catalysts quiet, it simply floated higher on its own bid.
The derivatives data backs up the calm. Aggregate open interest stands at 59.7 billion dollars on 62.7 billion dollars of 24 hour volume, with 127.8 million dollars liquidated over the past day, about half of Friday's total, which reads as a steady grind higher rather than a leveraged squeeze. Funding rates are positive and rising, and the long short accounts ratio sits at 1.15, with more accounts leaning long. Futures on Deribit and Binance price annualized premiums between 5.5 and 8.5 percent against a fed funds target of 3.5 to 3.75 percent, a meaningful carry spread that shows traders leaning bullish. The altcoin tape is lively too: Filecoin jumped 25 percent as its open interest surged 70 percent to 126 million dollars, perpetuals exchange token LIT rose 11 percent to 4.56 dollars, Zcash climbed 7.2 percent to 1,138 dollars, and NEAR added 4.9 percent to 2.41 dollars with trading volume up 40 percent. Prediction markets now price the Clarity Act's 2026 signing odds around 30 percent, up from 12 percent at the start of September, ahead of Tuesday's Senate procedural vote.
Days like this are why allocation matters more than prediction. This divergence arrived unannounced, on a morning when tech stocks were selling off over an AI safety essay, yet here we are. Diversification did exactly what it promises: one sleeve of the portfolio zigged while the other zagged. Whether this marks a real decoupling or a one day divergence, the market just handed crypto its best advertisement of the month.
Sources
- CoinDesk: BTC climbs while tech stocks decline
- CoinDesk: Crypto outperforms as AI slowdown weighs on tech
- Investopedia: Clarity Act Senate vote preview
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